CBS has an article that talks about the 5 reasons why Sen. Obama is the Democratic nominee. Here are their 5 reasons:

The War In Iraq
Change v. Experience
Iowa And The Process
Cold, Hard, Cash
Superdelegates

Actually, I think the reasons he’s the nominee are much less complicated than that. He’s their nominee because of Hillary’s disastrous Drexel debate, which exposed the fact that she’d say anything (a) to get elected and (b) to avoid answering a difficult question. He’s also the nominee because she ran an inept campaign until it was too late. Finally, he’s the nominee because the Agenda Media didn’t vet him until the Wright tapes emerged. Had the Wright tapes come out in December, 2007, he wouldn’t be the nominee. PERIOD.

Sen. Obama’s fundraising speech in San Francisco, coupled with the Wright videos, exposed Sen. Obama. After that, people knew that he wasn’t a postpartisan politician. Regaining his original lustre is Obama’s biggest challenge between now and November. I don’t think he’ll pull it off.

Sen. Obama lost the blue collar vote the minute his fundraising speech went public. Primary after primary has shown him losing the blue collar vote badly since Wrightgate and the fundraising tape. That isn’t just people’s first impression. It’s a lasting impression.

I don’t want to leave the impression that CBS’s points aren’t valid. They’re the most visible reasons for Hillary’s defeat. My point is that there’s deeper reasons why she isn’t the nominee right now.

One thing that’s come out of this process is that the Clinton ‘fascination’ is history. I’ve been one of the rare voices that wasn’t afraid of Team Clinton. I knew they were a formidable team but I also knew that she didn’t have Bill’s political instincts. I also knew that the vaunted Clinton War Room wasn’t as formidable as it was in 1992. In 1992, Rush Limbaugh and talk radio were in their infancy. The internet wasn’t on people’s radar. The Right Blogosphere didn’t exist. YouTube was years away.

The reason those things were important in defeating Mrs. Inevitability is because more people could access more information to refute the BS coming out of the Clinton campaign. It’s being used to expose Sen. Obama, too. When Hillary had her dreadful Drexel debate, everyone knew about it within hours. In many instances, they knew about it instantaneously. By the time people gathered at the water cooler the next morning, it was the talk of the nation.

This is what will hurt Barack Obama, too. when the Wright tapes showed up on YouTube, his campaign took a 3 month dive. Likewise when he made his intolerant statements at the fundraiser.

The new media helped bring down Hillary, though she did most of that heavy lifting. Sen. Obama has started down that path now, too. The new media is helping him destroy himself. Of course, he’s doing it with a little help from his friends, too.

Technorati Tags: Hillary, Clinton War Room, Triangulation, Drexel Debate, New Media, Right Blogosphere, Obama, Jeremiah Wright, Rush Limbaugh, Talk Radio, Election 2008

Cross-posted at LetFreedomRingBlog

1. Yay! Obama does get it about Iran.

   So why does he still want to get out of Iraq.

   I guess because if your a nutroot, thats what you want to hear. Bush lied (insert your favorite pet peeve here).

   Well if Iran is a problem, and you want to talk to Ahmed about it, on your terms, why would you not want to have some military leverage on his western front?

   Comment by T.A Gray — June 5, 2008 @ 7:14 am

2. Negotiations always go better when you have a big loaded gun pointed at the other guy’s head, don’t they?

   Comment by Gary Gross — June 5, 2008 @ 3:56 pm