Comments on: Congress 2006: Democrats Lead by Nine Points

By: Fred Fry

Fred Fry — Sat, 15 Oct 2005 02:33:15 +0000

We have the 2000, 2002 and the 2004 elections where the pollsters were dead wrong. Each time they did a self evaluation in that:

People voting for Republicans didn’t answer the survey and;

Pollsters oversampled Democrats.

And yet these skewed polls keep coming giving the opposition false hope and contributing to BDS.

By: Unpartisan.com Political News and Blog Aggregator

Unpartisan.com Political News and Blog Aggregator — Fri, 14 Oct 2005 22:30:22 +0000

Rove Testifies Again in CIA Leak Probe

Karl Rove Makes 4th Grand Jury Appearance in Investigation About Leaked Identity of CIA Officer

By: California Conservative

California Conservative — Fri, 14 Oct 2005 21:39:12 +0000

The odds are always against #3

By: gmg425

gmg425 — Fri, 14 Oct 2005 21:37:10 +0000

Those poll numbers are totally useless on several levels.

1) They don’t take into account which districts President Bush won and by how much.

2) They don’t take into account which seats are open seats. Those are about the only seats that are potential toss-ups these days due to the safe districting that’s happening these days.

3) This polling assumes that a competent Democrat with a coherent message is running in enough seats to win. What’s the odds of that being reality?

It’s been my experience that demographics, incumbents and personal scandals play a biger role in determining who wins and loses than does a generic poll.