Pundits from across the political spectrum have largely written off Joy Padgett’s chances of replacing Bob Ney in the U.S. House. Don’t buy into that because pundits are wrong on this. They’re wrong because Joy Padgett won’t vote for amnesty to illegal immigrants but she will vote to cut taxes and reduce the deficit.

Any voter in OH-18 would love having the option to vote for someone who’s rignt on the three most critical issues of this year. In poll after poll, people have said that they want our borders secure before we do anything else. They’ve said this with a clear, unambiguous voice. They’ve voiced their opinions in such numbers as to suggest that they’ll throw out those that talk about ‘comprehensive immigration reform’. Most polling show this to be a 70-30 issue and Joy’s on the 70% side of it.

I’d further posit that conservatives of all sorts want fiscal sanity. Informed people would term Glenn Reynolds as either liberal or moderate on the so-called social issues. Captain Ed is a social conservative. Despite their differences on social issues, though, there isn’t a dime’s worth of difference between Glenn and Captain Ed on spending restraint. This is another issue where Joy Padgett is on the right side of a 70-30 issue.

Michael Barone, the pre-eminent authority political, says that you can’t lose if you’re on the right side of a couple 70-30 issues. That’s so logical that you can understand why Democrats don’t get it. That’s why I haven’t written Ms. Padgett off. That’s why I wouldn’t be surprised to hear the Agenda Media dejectedly declaring Ms. Padgett the winner next Tuesday night.

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Cross-posted at LetFreedomRingBlog

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