A New Phenomena: Obama Fallout

Democratic strategists are so worried about Sen. Obama being a drag downticket that they’ve started planning for that contingency. Here’s what an anonymous fundraiser said about that problem:

“If people are voting for McCain, it could help Republicans all the way down the ticket, even in a year when the Democrats should be sweeping all before us,” said the fundraiser, a former Hillary Clinton supporter. “There is a growing sense of doom among Democrats I have spoken to . . . People are going crazy, telling the campaign ‘you’ve got to do something’.”

This quote tells me several things, starting with the fact that this is proof that Washington insiders shouldn’t run campaigns. Washington insiders, by nature, are defeatists. Defeatists are easily rolled. They’re often panicky.

Second, that quote tells me that the Democrats aren’t anchored to something solid that they can turn to when they’re experiencing a rough patch. When Sen. Obama’s ‘friends’ told him he can’t get swiftboated, he started taking ill-advised shots at Gov. Palin, something that’s backfired badly on him.

When his plans backfired, Obama’s advisers didn’t have something to fall back on. When Bill Clinton campaigned in 1992, anytime he got in trouble, he’d return to his ‘I’m going to focus on the economy like a laser beam’ position. Soon things stabilized. Sen. Obama doesn’t have that issue that he can return to and stabilize. BTW, Hope and change aren’t issues, they’re themes.

Tony Podesta, a senior Democratic lobbyist, said members of Congress were “a little nervous” after Mr McCain shook up the race with his choice of Sarah Palin as running mate and intensified attacks on Mr Obama. “Republicans have been on the offensive for the past two weeks . . . You don’t win elections on the defensive.”

That you don’t, Tony. You dodn’t win elections when you’re flailing, either, which is what Sen. Obama is doing right now. Democrats likely will face a decision about whether to be seen wih Sen. Obama in states like Georgia, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Indiana.

House Democrats likely face another decision, namely should they run away from Speaker Pelosi. People remember her memo telling her vulnerables to say whatever they needed to say:

But what looks like intraparty tension on the surface is part of an intentional strategy in which Pelosi takes the heat on energy policy, while behind the scenes she’s encouraging vulnerable Democrats to express their independence if it helps them politically, according to Democratic aides on and off Capitol Hill.

The NRCC would be wise to put out ads asking whether vulnerables would talk a good game on drilling but stop short of abandoning Ms. Pelosi. There’s signs that they might actually abandon Ms. Pelosi. If that happens, expect panic to kick into a higher gear.

The closer you get to an election, the more scrutiny each event gets. Any sign of weakness gets notice and the chance for overreactions increases. Whatever the case, this could be a fun last 50+ days.

TechnoratiTechnorati Tags: , , , , , , , ,

Cross-posted at LetFreedomRingBlog

4 Responses to “A New Phenomena: Obama Fallout”

  1. T A Gray Says:

    It’s only been ten days, and while McCain/Palins numbers actually appear to be leveling off some, ObamaBiden are still in free fall. That that is beginning to worry some Democratic congressmen i guess is possible.

    But why? Beside thea fact the electoral numbers are now getting practically tied. whats the real panic over there. This goes deeper than just Palin,
    granted she’s a problem for them, being about as far from the stuffy, east coast, post menopausal feminazi babes as you can get. And they WILL try, unsuccessfully, to bring her down; but she’s not the real, hidden problem I dont think.

    I dont think they have a contingency plan, because;
    a) they they dont have any substance;
    Bill Clinton had, “Its the economy, stupid”, as the Financial Times points out, Obama has “hope and change” those are platitudes, not coherent policies, and

    b) they’ve been acting like its still 2006 and they are running aginst Bush/Cheney. Flash priority message:
    Bush/Cheney aren’t running - SURPRISE!

    Flash update: McCain is the same guy they all loved for not being afraid of going aginst his own party,
    and he just prooved it by picking a running mate that’s not afriad of going aginst her own party - SURPRISE AGAIN!

    What the hell did they expect?

  2. Pasadena Closet Conservative Says:

    They know they’re in trouble. They’re on the run. This is going to be fun!

  3. Liem Says:

    Obama’s fallout is so disastrous, he only raised $66 million with help from 500,000 new donors.

  4. T A Gray Says:

    Oh nice! Was ACORN in on that too, and what Chicago graveyard did all those names come from?

Leave a Reply